White House Addressed Insider Trading Concerns in Iran Ceasefire Bets

White House Addressed Insider Trading Concerns in Iran Ceasefire Bets

Newly created accounts on the prediction market Polymarket placed significant bets on a U. S. -Iran ceasefire shortly before the announcement, raising concerns about potential insider trading. These timely bets led to substantial profits and prompted questions about the integrity of the market.

Congressional leaders subsequently called for federal investigations into the suspicious betting activity. In response, the White House issued warnings to its staff against using nonpublic information for financial gain, emphasizing that such behavior, including betting on prediction markets, is a serious offense. The incident highlighted the challenges of regulating emerging prediction markets and the need for oversight to prevent misuse of sensitive information during international conflicts.

参与者

Polymarket United States Iran Donald Trump Todd Philips Georgia State University U.S. lawmakers

地点

Polymarket Strait of Hormuz

文章

2026年四月10日
4 篇总计
White House warned staff on Iran war prediction market bets
White House warned staff on Iran war prediction market bets

CNBC • 04月10日 15:13

The White House cautioned staff against using nonpublic information for betting on prediction markets, following unusual trading activity prior to President Trump's Iran ceasefire announcement.

可信度 85% 操纵 20% 中立
White House staff warned not to place bets on prediction markets
White House staff warned not to place bets on prediction markets

BBC • 04月10日 02:32

The White House has cautioned staff against using non-public information to place bets on prediction markets, following concerns over potential insider trading.

可信度 80% 操纵 15% 中立
White House Warned Staff Not to Engage in Insider Trading Amid War With Iran
White House Warned Staff Not to Engage in Insider Trading Amid War With Iran

The New York Times • 04月10日 00:56

The White House has cautioned staff against using nonpublic information for financial gain, following suspicious trading activities linked to the Iran conflict.

可信度 85% 操纵 35% 中立
White House staff received email warning them not to place bets on prediction markets, officials say
White House staff received email warning them not to place bets on prediction markets, officials say

CBS News • 04月10日 00:02

The White House has reminded staff that using nonpublic information for financial gain, including betting on prediction markets, is a serious offense and will not be tolerated.

可信度 85% 操纵 20% 中立
2026年四月09日
3 篇总计
Lawmakers demand investigations into well-timed bets on Polymarket tied to the Iran war
Lawmakers demand investigations into well-timed bets on Polymarket tied to the Iran war

AP News • 04月09日 18:51

Congressional leaders are urging federal regulators to investigate Polymarket following reports of well-timed bets on a U.S.-Iran ceasefire, raising concerns about potential insider trading.

可信度 85% 操纵 20% 中立
Traders win big on Polymarket with accurate ceasefire bets, sparking concerns
Traders win big on Polymarket with accurate ceasefire bets, sparking concerns

ynetnews • 04月09日 16:22

Newly created accounts on Polymarket placed significant bets on a US-Iran ceasefire shortly before its announcement, leading to substantial profits and prompting questions about potential insider trading.

可信度 75% 操纵 25% 中立
Newly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed Iran ceasefire bets
Newly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed Iran ceasefire bets

The Guardian • 04月09日 00:11

Recently created accounts on Polymarket placed significant bets on a US-Iran ceasefire shortly before its announcement, raising concerns about potential insider trading.

可信度 85% 操纵 20% 中立
2026年四月08日
1 篇总计
Newly created Polymarket accounts bet big on US-Iran ceasefire in hours before Trump's announcement
Newly created Polymarket accounts bet big on US-Iran ceasefire in hours before Trump's announcement

AP News • 04月08日 22:09

Newly created accounts on Polymarket placed significant bets on a U.S.-Iran ceasefire shortly before its announcement, raising concerns about potential insider trading.

可信度 85% 操纵 15% 中立