La Casa Blanca abordó preocupaciones sobre uso de información privilegiada en apuestas sobre alto el fuego con Irán

La Casa Blanca abordó preocupaciones sobre uso de información privilegiada en apuestas sobre alto el fuego con Irán

Cuentas recién creadas en el mercado de predicción Polymarket realizaron apuestas significativas sobre un alto el fuego entre EE. UU. e Irán poco antes del anuncio, lo que generó preocupaciones sobre posible uso de información privilegiada. Estas apuestas oportunas generaron ganancias sustanciales y suscitaron dudas sobre la integridad del mercado.

Posteriormente, líderes del Congreso solicitaron investigaciones federales sobre la actividad sospechosa. En respuesta, la Casa Blanca advirtió a su personal sobre el uso indebido de información no pública para obtener ganancias financieras, enfatizando que tal conducta, incluyendo apuestas en mercados de predicción, es una falta grave. El incidente destacó los desafíos de regular los mercados emergentes de predicción y la necesidad de supervisión para evitar el mal uso de información sensible durante conflictos internacionales.

Actores

Polymarket United States Iran Donald Trump Todd Philips Georgia State University U.S. lawmakers

Ubicaciones

Polymarket Strait of Hormuz

Artículos

10 de abril de 2026
4 en total
White House warned staff on Iran war prediction market bets
White House warned staff on Iran war prediction market bets

CNBC • 10 de abr 15:13

The White House cautioned staff against using nonpublic information for betting on prediction markets, following unusual trading activity prior to President Trump's Iran ceasefire announcement.

Credibilidad 85% Manip. 20% Centro
White House staff warned not to place bets on prediction markets
White House staff warned not to place bets on prediction markets

BBC • 10 de abr 02:32

The White House has cautioned staff against using non-public information to place bets on prediction markets, following concerns over potential insider trading.

Credibilidad 80% Manip. 15% Centro
White House Warned Staff Not to Engage in Insider Trading Amid War With Iran
White House Warned Staff Not to Engage in Insider Trading Amid War With Iran

The New York Times • 10 de abr 00:56

The White House has cautioned staff against using nonpublic information for financial gain, following suspicious trading activities linked to the Iran conflict.

Credibilidad 85% Manip. 35% Centro
White House staff received email warning them not to place bets on prediction markets, officials say
White House staff received email warning them not to place bets on prediction markets, officials say

CBS News • 10 de abr 00:02

The White House has reminded staff that using nonpublic information for financial gain, including betting on prediction markets, is a serious offense and will not be tolerated.

Credibilidad 85% Manip. 20% Centro
9 de abril de 2026
3 en total
Lawmakers demand investigations into well-timed bets on Polymarket tied to the Iran war
Lawmakers demand investigations into well-timed bets on Polymarket tied to the Iran war

AP News • 9 de abr 18:51

Congressional leaders are urging federal regulators to investigate Polymarket following reports of well-timed bets on a U.S.-Iran ceasefire, raising concerns about potential insider trading.

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Traders win big on Polymarket with accurate ceasefire bets, sparking concerns
Traders win big on Polymarket with accurate ceasefire bets, sparking concerns

ynetnews • 9 de abr 16:22

Newly created accounts on Polymarket placed significant bets on a US-Iran ceasefire shortly before its announcement, leading to substantial profits and prompting questions about potential insider trading.

Credibilidad 75% Manip. 25% Centro
Newly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed Iran ceasefire bets
Newly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed Iran ceasefire bets

The Guardian • 9 de abr 00:11

Recently created accounts on Polymarket placed significant bets on a US-Iran ceasefire shortly before its announcement, raising concerns about potential insider trading.

Credibilidad 85% Manip. 20% Centro
8 de abril de 2026
1 en total
Newly created Polymarket accounts bet big on US-Iran ceasefire in hours before Trump's announcement
Newly created Polymarket accounts bet big on US-Iran ceasefire in hours before Trump's announcement

AP News • 8 de abr 22:09

Newly created accounts on Polymarket placed significant bets on a U.S.-Iran ceasefire shortly before its announcement, raising concerns about potential insider trading.

Credibilidad 85% Manip. 15% Centro