Democrats projected to dominate Senate and House in latest forecasts
The Argument forecast that Democrats have a 77 % chance to win the Senate and a 92 % chance to take the House, projecting gains of six Senate seats and 24 House seats. Earlier, CNN expanded its list of 11 Senate contests most likely to flip, naming states such as North Carolina and Ohio. Roll Call reported recent race-rating changes that show a significant shift toward Democratic candidates in a number of House and Senate races. Al Jazeera highlighted that Democrats need a net gain of four Senate seats, pointing to pivotal contests in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, Georgia, Michigan and New Hampshire.
NPR noted that the map of competitive Senate races had broadened, with several toss-up contests in states Trump won. Newsweek cited Nate Silver saying Inside Elections moved nine Senate races toward Democrats and that prediction markets gave Democrats a double-digit lead. Fox News’ power rankings moved South Carolina from lean-Republican to toss-up and shifted Ohio to lean Democratic, keeping the overall Senate contest closely contested.
