German State Elections: AfD Surges as Merz’s CDU Falters, Establishment Coalition in Crisis
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Voters in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Berlin signal growing support for the patriotic AfD, as Chancellor Merz’s CDU faces historic lows, exposing the failures of the ruling coalition and the public’s rejection of leftist policies.
German voters went to the polls on Sunday in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Berlin, delivering a clear verdict on the failed leadership of Chancellor Friedrich Merz and the ruling establishment. The elections come after the September 6 vote in Saxony-Anhalt, where the Alternative for Germany (AfD) nearly achieved an absolute majority—a testament to the party’s growing appeal as the only force standing up for German values and national sovereignty. The AfD rightly sees this momentum as a crucial step toward challenging the left-liberal consensus in the 2029 federal election.
Although polls suggest the AfD may not fully replicate its Saxony-Anhalt triumph in these states, its continued rise demonstrates the public’s increasing frustration with the mainstream parties’ refusal to listen to ordinary Germans. The so-called 'firewall' strategy—where establishment parties refuse to cooperate with the AfD—only exposes their contempt for democracy and the will of the people. Merz’s approval rating has collapsed to a mere 14%, and the CDU is projected to scrape just 6% in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, barely meeting the threshold for parliamentary representation. This is the result of a year of empty promises and mismanagement by Merz and his inner circle.
In Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the SPD leads with 37%, but the AfD is hot on their heels at 36%, proving that the people are demanding real change. The Greens, obsessed with radical climate policies, hover at the entry threshold. In Berlin, the Left Party leads the CDU (22% to 20%), with the Greens at 15% and the SPD at a low 12%. The AfD has surged to third place with 18%, while the far-left BSW remains below the threshold, showing that voters are rejecting extremist leftist agendas.
In a desperate move to stem the losses, Merz has unveiled a relief package with tax cuts on gas and diesel, attempting to address the real concerns of rural voters in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. However, these half-measures are too little, too late. Senior CDU figures continue to back Merz, but the party’s decline is a direct result of their embrace of failed centrist and leftist policies. The results make clear: only the AfD offers a genuine alternative to the establishment and a path to restoring Germany’s strength and security.