UK house prices plunge 0.6% in October as mortgage rates surge

UK house prices plunge 0.6% in October as mortgage rates surge

Lloyds Banking Group said UK house prices fell 0. 6% in October, the sharpest monthly drop in three years, as higher mortgage rates tied to the Iran conflict weighed on demand. The Guardian had earlier reported that more than 2.

3 million households were expected to see mortgage payments rise when fixed-rate deals ended, amid an anticipated Bank of England rate increase and higher energy costs. The Bank of England later lifted its base rate, raising monthly payments for tracker and standard-variable-rate mortgage borrowers, while savers saw modest gains, the Guardian noted. Savills forecasts, cited by the Guardian and the Telegraph, project a continued decline in house prices through 2027 with only a modest rebound in the second half of 2028, attributing the pressure to higher mortgage rates linked to the Iran conflict.

Actors

Bank of England Andrew Bailey UK Finance Office for Budget Responsibility Ofgem EDF John Healey Office for National Statistics

Locations

London, United Kingdom Strait of Hormuz Middle East

Articles

November 06, 2026
2 total
UK house prices drop at fastest rate in three years, lenders say
UK house prices drop at fastest rate in three years, lenders say

The Times • 06 Nov 12:18

Lloyds Banking Group reports a 0.6% monthly decline in UK house prices in October, the steepest fall in three years, attributing the slowdown to higher mortgage rates linked to the conflict in Iran.

Credibility 82% Manip. 12% Center
UK house prices drop 0.6% in October, marking steepest decline in over three years
UK house prices drop 0.6% in October, marking steepest decline in over three years

The Guardian • 06 Nov 08:07

Average UK home values fell 0.6% in October to £296,285, the sharpest monthly drop since August 2023, as high mortgage rates and rising inflation weigh on demand.

Credibility 82% Manip. 8% Center
November 05, 2026
1 total
UK base rate rise raises costs for some mortgage borrowers while sparking modest gains for savers
UK base rate rise raises costs for some mortgage borrowers while sparking modest gains for savers

The Guardian • 05 Nov 15:42

The Bank of England's latest interest-rate increase will lift monthly payments for tracker and standard-variable-rate mortgage holders, while savers with easy-access accounts may see slightly higher returns.

Credibility 88% Manip. 8% Center
November 04, 2026
2 total
UK house prices projected to fall through 2027 before modest recovery in 2028
UK house prices projected to fall through 2027 before modest recovery in 2028

The Telegraph • 04 Nov 07:00

Savills forecasts a decline in UK house prices until the second half of 2028, driven by higher mortgage rates linked to the Iran conflict, with a modest rebound expected thereafter.

Credibility 78% Manip. 12% Center
Savills predicts UK housing market recovery not until 2028
Savills predicts UK housing market recovery not until 2028

The Guardian • 04 Nov 05:00

Savills forecasts a continued decline in UK house prices through 2027, with a recovery expected from the second half of 2028, citing higher mortgage rates linked to the Middle East conflict.

Credibility 82% Manip. 8% Center
November 02, 2026
1 total
UK households face higher mortgage costs as Bank of England likely raises rates
UK households face higher mortgage costs as Bank of England likely raises rates

The Guardian • 02 Nov 06:00

More than 2.3 million UK households are expected to see mortgage payments rise when fixed-rate deals end, amid an anticipated increase in the Bank of England’s base rate and higher energy costs.

Credibility 88% Manip. 12% Center