Victorian Labor MPs alarmed as poll puts party behind One Nation

Victorian Labor MPs alarmed as poll puts party behind One Nation

A DemosAU poll released put Victorian Labor's primary vote at 18%, behind One Nation's 21% and the Coalition's 33%, prompting alarm among Labor MPs. Earlier, a Lighthouse tracking poll reported by News. com. au gave One Nation 23% support, just ahead of Labor's 22% while the Liberal Party led with 31%.

The Guardian said One Nation was gaining traction in Melbourne's western suburbs as Labor's support fell sharply. An internal Greens poll, also cited by The Guardian, placed the Greens ahead of One Nation. Analysis of 2022 booth results by The Age highlighted Labor's loss of ground in its traditional northern suburbs and One Nation's rise in regional areas, and identified marginal seats such as Sydenham, Morwell and Ripon as pivotal for the November 28 state election.

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Greens One Nation Ellen Sandell Jess Wilson Ben Carroll Warren Pickering Parliamentary Budget Office Coalition Labor

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Melbourne Victoria

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November 09, 2026
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Victorian Labor MPs alarmed as new poll shows party trailing One Nation
Victorian Labor MPs alarmed as new poll shows party trailing One Nation

The Guardian • 09 Nov 04:55

A DemosAU poll released Monday puts Labor’s primary vote at 18%, behind the Coalition (33%) and One Nation (21%), prompting concern and scepticism among Victorian Labor members.

Credibility 82% Manip. 12% Center
November 08, 2026
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Key Victorian electorates could decide the state election on Nov. 28
Key Victorian electorates could decide the state election on Nov. 28

The Age • 08 Nov 08:30

Analysts say a handful of marginal seats, including Sydenham, Morwell and Ripon, will be pivotal as Labor, the Coalition and One Nation vie for the 45 seats needed for a majority.

Credibility 82% Manip. 12% Center
November 06, 2026
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One Nation edges ahead of Labor in Victoria poll, Liberal Party leads overall
One Nation edges ahead of Labor in Victoria poll, Liberal Party leads overall

News.com.au • 06 Nov 02:39

A Lighthouse tracking poll shows One Nation at 23% primary support, overtaking Labor's 22%, while the Liberal Party holds 31% ahead of Victoria's state election.

Credibility 72% Manip. 12% Center
November 05, 2026
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One Nation gains traction as Labor vote slips in Melbourne’s western suburbs
One Nation gains traction as Labor vote slips in Melbourne’s western suburbs

The Guardian • 05 Nov 20:31

Labor’s support has fallen sharply in several western Melbourne seats, prompting concerns that voters may turn to One Nation or the Liberals in the upcoming state election.

Credibility 82% Manip. 12% Center
November 02, 2026
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Victoria's 2022 voting patterns hint at shifting fortunes for Labor, Liberals and One Nation ahead of state election
Victoria's 2022 voting patterns hint at shifting fortunes for Labor, Liberals and One Nation ahead of state election

The Age • 02 Nov 08:30

Analysis of 2022 polling-booth results shows Labor losing ground in its traditional northern suburbs, One Nation gaining support in regional areas, and the Liberal Party targeting both blue-ribbon and western seats for the November 28 state election.

Credibility 88% Manip. 12% Center
October 31, 2026
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Greens internal poll shows lead over One Nation as Victorian election approaches
Greens internal poll shows lead over One Nation as Victorian election approaches

The Guardian • 31 Oct 19:01

Internal Greens polling in Victoria places the party ahead of One Nation, while opposition leader Jess Wilson criticises the latter ahead of a multi-party leaders’ forum.

Credibility 68% Manip. 32% Center