Brazil's presidential election leads to runoff after Bolsonaro tops first round

Brazil's presidential election leads to runoff after Bolsonaro tops first round

The BBC reported that Senator Flávio Bolsonaro secured 47% of the vote against incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula’s 45% in Brazil’s first-round presidential election on 24 September, triggering a runoff scheduled for 25 October. Al Jazeera said the candidates wrapped up their campaigns with polls showing Lula’s lead narrowing. A Datafolha survey cited by Al Jazeera earlier gave Lula a two-point advantage in a simulated runoff.

BBC’s own poll placed both candidates around 40% of the vote. The Guardian noted the close contest between the incumbent and the son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, noting possible domestic and foreign policy implications. Yahoo reported that Bolsonaro launched his bid amid ongoing corruption investigations, while CNBC said analysts expected a Bolsonaro victory to boost bonds and the currency, whereas a Lula win could keep rates higher.

Acteurs

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Flávio Bolsonaro Datafolha Jair Bolsonaro

Lieux

Brazil São Paulo, Brazil
Verdict global: Partiellement confirmé Confiance: 75% Affirmations: 1
Résumé

The claim that Brazil's upcoming vote on September 28, 2026, will determine whether incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva or Flávio Bolsonaro will lead the nation was partially confirmed, indicating the main event is verified but some details such as the exact date or other specifics remain unconfirmed.

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Cette section contient une vérification automatisée des affirmations à partir de sources externes et peut contenir des inexactitudes.

Articles

5 octobre 2026
1 au total
Brazil election goes to run-off as right-wing Flávio Bolsonaro wins first round
Brazil election goes to run-off as right-wing Flávio Bolsonaro wins first round

BBC • 05 oct. 03h16

Flavio Bolsonaro secured 47% of the vote against incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula’s 45%, prompting a second-round ballot on 25 October.

Crédibilité 78% Manip. 32% Centre
4 octobre 2026
2 au total
Brazil’s Lula and Bolsonaro close campaigns ahead of critical election
Brazil’s Lula and Bolsonaro close campaigns ahead of critical election

Al Jazeera • 04 oct. 06h32

Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro concluded their campaigns on Saturday, with polls showing a narrowing lead for Lula ahead of Brazil's tightly contested presidential election on Sunday.

Crédibilité 71% Manip. 46% Centre
What to know about Brazil's election pitting Lula against Flávio Bolsonaro
What to know about Brazil's election pitting Lula against Flávio Bolsonaro

bbc.com • 04 oct. 04h53

Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva faces right-wing senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a runoff-likely election, with polls placing both candidates around 40% of the vote.

Crédibilité 78% Manip. 12% Centre
3 octobre 2026
2 au total
Lula or Bolsonaro: Wall Street braces for two wildly different results in Brazil election
Lula or Bolsonaro: Wall Street braces for two wildly different results in Brazil election

CNBC • 03 oct. 13h12

Analysts say a Bolsonaro win could boost Brazilian bonds, currency and equities, while a Lula victory may keep rates higher, highlighting the market’s split expectations ahead of the first-round vote.

Crédibilité 72% Manip. 12% Centre
Lula faces a younger Bolsonaro : NPR
Lula faces a younger Bolsonaro : NPR

NPR • 03 oct. 02h57

Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva faces Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, in Brazil's October 4 election, with the outcome set to influence the country's judiciary, economy and foreign policy.

Crédibilité 78% Manip. 32% Centre
2 octobre 2026
1 au total
Lula and Bolsonaro’s mudslinging heats up ahead of weekend vote
Lula and Bolsonaro’s mudslinging heats up ahead of weekend vote

France 24 • 02 oct. 05h44

Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro are exchanging accusations in the final days before Brazil's closely contested election, with polls indicating a possible runoff.

Crédibilité 72% Manip. 32% Centre
28 septembre 2026
2 au total
John Oliver on Brazil’s Flávio Bolsonaro: ‘Fearmongering and flagrant daddy issues’
John Oliver on Brazil’s Flávio Bolsonaro: ‘Fearmongering and flagrant daddy issues’

The Guardian • 28 sept. 15h51

Brazil's upcoming vote will decide whether incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva or Flávio Bolsonaro, son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, will lead the nation, with analysts noting a close race and potential implications for domestic and international policy.

Crédibilité 68% Manip. 25% Gauche
In run for Brazil's presidency, Flavio Bolsonaro tests staying power of his father's legacy
In run for Brazil's presidency, Flavio Bolsonaro tests staying power of his father's legacy

Yahoo • 28 sept. 13h01

Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, the main right-wing candidate, is running for Brazil’s presidency in October while facing corruption investigations and a competitive race against President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

Crédibilité 78% Manip. 32% Centre
25 septembre 2026
1 au total
Brazil’s Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro still essentially tied in new poll
Brazil’s Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro still essentially tied in new poll

Al Jazeera • 25 sept. 10h46

A Datafolha survey shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ahead of Senator Flávio Bolsonaro by two points in a simulated runoff, a margin within the poll's error range.

Crédibilité 78% Manip. 8% Centre