CNN analyst says moderate Republican support for Trump has sharply declined
Data analyst Harry Enten said a recent CNN/SSRS poll shows Trump’s net approval among moderate Republicans fell from +69 points to +10 points, citing the economy and other issues as key factors.
CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten said a new CNN/SSRS poll indicates a steep drop in Donald Trump’s support among moderate Republicans, a group that makes up roughly 30% to 40% of the party. The poll shows the former president’s net approval among these voters fell from a +69-point lead over Democratic candidate Kamala Harris in 2024 to a +10-point lead currently.
Enten attributed the decline primarily to economic concerns. He noted that Trump’s net approval on the economy, the issue that helped him win the presidency, is now only +3 points, while his ratings on Iran and inflation are negative, at -6 and -17 points respectively.
"If I’m a Republican running for Congress in those swing districts, I need those moderate Republicans, and they are leaving Donald Trump," Enten said, adding that the shift could also affect Republican congressional candidates.
Enten also challenged Trump’s claim that the polling numbers are inaccurate, presenting a chart that tracks the former president’s overall net approval, which he said has moved from +6 in January 2025 to -21 now, marking the lowest level in his second term.
"In term number two, he is very much underwater despite whatever he is claiming," Enten said.
The analyst’s comments highlight a broader trend of declining favorability for Trump among centrist members of his party.