鲍威尔暗示在经济风险变化中可能降息
仅事实

鲍威尔暗示在经济风险变化中可能降息

摘要

美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔表示,鉴于经济状况的变化,可能会调整利率政策,引发市场显著反应。

美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔于2025年8月22日在杰克逊霍尔经济研讨会上表示,央行可能会根据不断变化的经济风险调整其政策立场。

“鉴于政策处于紧缩区间,基线前景和风险平衡的变化可能需要调整我们的政策立场,”鲍威尔说道。

这一潜在降息的暗示立即引发市场反应。标准普尔500指数上涨1.5%,纳斯达克综合指数上涨1.9%,道琼斯工业平均指数上涨1.9%,创下新高。

国债收益率也有所反应,10年期国债收益率下降约7个基点至4.26%,2年期收益率下降超过8个基点至3.705%。

鲍威尔的讲话正值对劳动力市场降温及关税对消费者价格影响的担忧之际。他指出,高通胀与高失业风险“正在转变”,暗示美联储可能将重点转向支持就业。

投资者目前预计美联储将在9月联邦公开市场委员会会议上降息25个基点,鲍威尔讲话后此类举措的概率升至近90%。

美联储维持物价稳定和充分就业的双重使命继续指导其政策决策,鲍威尔强调,任何调整都将依赖于数据。

来源

CNBC

事实核查

使用外部来源和数据库核实文章的事实。

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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested that the central bank might consider adjusting its policy stance in response to changing economic risks on August 22, 2025.

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The S&P 500 surged 1.5%, the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.9%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1.9% to a new record high following Powell's indications.

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The 10-year Treasury yield dropped around 7 basis points to 4.26%, and the 2-year yield decreased more than 8 basis points to 3.705% after Powell's speech.

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Powell expressed concerns over a cooling labor market and the impact of tariffs on consumer prices.

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Investors are now anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at the Federal Open Market Committee's September meeting, with a probability of nearly 90%.

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The Federal Reserve's dual mandate is to maintain stable prices and full employment.

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Powell emphasized that any adjustments will be data-dependent.

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Powell noted that the risk between high inflation and high unemployment is 'shifting.'

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