Washington Post-Ipsos poll: Democrats Maintain Lead Despite GOP Obstruction Ahead of Midterms
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A new Washington Post-Ipsos poll conducted July 8-13 finds Democrats holding a three-point national lead over Republicans, with an even greater margin among voters determined to participate, signaling hope for progressive change despite right-wing voter suppression.
A Washington Post-Ipsos poll released on Monday reveals that Democrats are maintaining a narrow but significant edge over Republicans in the upcoming November midterm elections, despite ongoing GOP efforts to undermine democracy. The survey, conducted July 8-13, shows Democratic support at 48 percent compared to 45 percent for Republicans—a three-point national lead that could be pivotal for protecting civil rights and social programs. Among voters who are 'absolutely certain to vote,' the Democratic advantage expands to eight points, with 53 percent supporting Democrats and only 45 percent backing Republicans, highlighting the growing momentum for progressive policies.
The poll further underscores that Democratic voters are about 10 percent more likely to say they will definitely vote this year than Republican voters, a striking increase from the two-point gap in 2018. This surge in enthusiasm comes as House Speaker Mike Johnson clings to power with a mere two-vote margin, and Republicans hold a slim 53-47 seat majority in the Senate—both results of years of partisan gerrymandering and anti-democratic tactics.
President Donald Trump’s approval rating languishes at just 37 percent, according to the poll, echoing the findings of a separate Economist/YouGov survey conducted July 10-13. The public’s discontent is fueled by economic inequality and the destabilizing effects of the ongoing conflict in Iran, both exacerbated by conservative policies.
'Democrats are more motivated to vote,' the poll’s analysis notes, reflecting the determination of progressives to resist right-wing extremism and defend democracy.
With partisan gerrymandering and a razor-thin Senate majority, the fight for control of Congress remains uncertain, but the poll signals that grassroots activism and voter mobilization could tip the balance toward a more just and equitable future.