Iran Reconstitutes Military Amid Ceasefire, Asserts Control Over Strait of Hormuz

Iran is actively reconstituting its military capabilities during the current ceasefire, a move consistent with standard military practices following combat operations. Recent U.S. intelligence assessments indicate that Iran has regained access to 90% of its underground missile storage and launch facilities, many of which were damaged in previous U.S.-Israeli airstrikes. Additionally, Iran retains approximately 70% of its mobile launchers and prewar missile stockpile, including both ballistic and cruise missiles. These developments suggest that Iran is effectively utilizing the ceasefire period to reorganize and regenerate its military assets.

In parallel, Iran is asserting increased control over the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil transit chokepoint. The Iranian government has established the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA) to regulate maritime transit through the strait. This new agency requires vessels to obtain authorization and pay for safe passage, a move that has led to disruptions in shipping activity. Reports indicate that at least 13 ships have diverted from the area following Iran's expansion of its maritime control zone. Furthermore, media outlets affiliated with Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) have proposed taxing or extracting revenue from undersea internet cables that traverse the strait, highlighting Iran's strategic use of its geographic position to influence global digital infrastructure.

These actions have heightened tensions in the region. On May 7, U.S. and Iranian military forces exchanged fire in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran launched missiles and drones targeting three U.S. naval vessels, prompting U.S. forces to respond by striking Iranian launch sites and command centers. U.S. Central Command confirmed that the U.S. vessels intercepted the Iranian attacks without sustaining damage. This incident underscores the fragile nature of the current ceasefire and the ongoing struggle for control over this vital maritime passage.

The international community continues to monitor these developments closely, as Iran's military reconstitution and strategic maneuvers in the Strait of Hormuz have significant implications for regional security and global trade.