Dr. Bawumia Projected to Win NPP Presidential Primaries with 57% Support

Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia is projected to win the New Patriotic Party's (NPP) presidential primaries on January 31, 2026, with 57% of the vote, according to a final survey by Global InfoAnalytics. The poll indicates that Kennedy Agyapong is expected to receive 28%, followed by Dr. Bryan Acheampong with 13%, and Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum with 2%. Kwabena Agyapong is projected to receive no votes.

The survey, conducted between December 29, 2025, and January 23, 2026, sampled 10,133 NPP delegates across all 16 regions and 272 constituencies. It was carried out using Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews (CATI) and has a confidence level of 99.9% with a margin of error of ±1.57%. The predictive model carries a margin of error of ±3.0%.

Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, Mussa Dankwah, expressed confidence in the stability of the data, noting that all areas examined point to a clear victory for Dr. Bawumia. He stated that the model projects Dr. Bawumia's vote share between 54% and 60%, factoring in a 3% margin of error.

The survey also highlights strong party optimism about post-primary cohesion, with 88% of respondents expressing confidence that the NPP will remain united after the internal contest. Additionally, 45% of delegates agree that presenting a candidate for a second time could enhance the party's chances in the 2028 general election.

The NPP is set to hold its presidential primaries on January 31, 2026, to elect its flagbearer for the 2028 general elections.