政府停摆导致经济数据发布延迟和缺失

"...The government shutdown is over. The wait for data about the economy is not...."

"...But economists, policymakers and investors will need to wait weeks for a more up-to-date picture of the labor market, as well as for fresh data on inflation, spending, home-building and more...."

"...When the data does begin to flow, it may come with an asterisk — some of the reports may be based on partial information, making them subject to more uncertainty than usual...."

"...And some data will probably never be produced, a permanent gap in understanding that could have lasting consequences...."

"...Financial markets have stumbled in recent days as investors have grown nervous that the central bank won’t lower interest rates next month as expected — in part because policymakers won’t have the data they need to convince them that a cut is prudent...."

"...Fed policymakers aren’t the only ones flying blind...."

"...Some economists also worry that the shutdown has done longer-term damage to a statistical system already strained by shrinking budgets and staff turnover...."

"...Long Delays, Permanent Gaps..."

"...The gap could have long-lasting repercussions...."

"...That will also affect other economic measures: A measure of wage growth published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, for example, compares people’s earnings in the survey in one month with their earnings in the survey from a year earlier...."

"...There is a lot of granular detail that we will lose for the month of October...."

"...There is a ripple effect moving forward as well, because of the way the survey is structured...."

"...Statistical agencies also need to try to publish the reports they missed while continuing to collect and publish new data...."

"...After previous government shutdowns, it took months for the agencies to get fully back on schedule...."

"...And because this shutdown was so long, it could take longer to clear the backlog...."