仅事实
美联储在经济不确定性和降息猜测中召开会议
摘要
美联储10月会议正在进行，市场预计在经济不确定性和政府停摆背景下可能降息。
美联储联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）于2025年10月28日在华盛顿特区开始为期两天的会议，普遍预期将进一步降息。此次会议紧随9月份25个基点的降息，将联邦基金目标利率区间降至4.00%–4.25%。
经济指标显示劳动力市场出现疲软迹象，私营部门ADP报告显示9月份减少了31,000个就业岗位。此外，消费者信心降至五个月低点。
持续的政府停摆进一步复杂化了经济形势，导致关键数据发布延迟，如非农就业和消费者价格指数报告。数据缺失给美联储准确评估当前经济状况带来了挑战。
市场分析师对美联储下一步动作意见不一。多数人预计将再次降息25个基点以支持放缓的经济，而一部分人则认为美联储可能维持利率不变，以便进一步评估通胀趋势后再采取行动。
FOMC计划于10月29日下午2点（东部时间）公布政策决定，随后美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将在下午2:30举行新闻发布会。投资者和经济学家将密切关注美联储声明，以洞察未来货币政策方向。
来源
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The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) commenced its two-day meeting on October 28, 2025, in Washington, D.C.
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This gathering follows a 25-basis-point cut in September, which brought the federal funds target range to 4.00%–4.25%.
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Economic indicators have shown signs of a weakening labor market, with the private-sector ADP report revealing a loss of 31,000 jobs in September.
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Additionally, consumer confidence has declined to a five-month low.
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The ongoing government shutdown has further complicated the economic landscape by delaying critical data releases, such as the Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index reports.
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Market analysts are divided on the Fed's next move. A majority anticipate another 25-basis-point cut to support the slowing economy, while a significant minority believes the Fed may hold rates steady to further evaluate inflation trends before taking action.
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The FOMC is scheduled to release its policy decision on October 29 at 2:00 p.m. Eastern Time, followed by a press conference with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at 2:30 p.m.
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