联邦储备官员支持降息以应对失业率上升的担忧
仅事实

联邦储备官员支持降息以应对失业率上升的担忧

摘要

联邦储备9月会议纪要显示,大多数官员因失业风险增加和通胀稳定,倾向于降息。

在2025年9月16日至17日的联邦储备会议上,大多数官员支持将联邦基金利率下调四分之一个百分点至约4.1%,理由是对失业率上升的担忧加剧以及通胀保持稳定。会议纪要显示,自7月以来失业风险有所加剧,而通胀风险则有所减弱或保持不变。此举旨在降低抵押贷款、汽车贷款和商业贷款的借贷成本,从而促进消费和就业。

委员会在降息幅度上存在分歧。由唐纳德·特朗普总统任命并在会议前刚获确认的斯蒂芬·米兰持异议,主张更大幅度的半个百分点降息。相反,一些政策制定者建议维持当前利率,或认为维持利率有其合理性。主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔承认形势复杂,他表示:“现在没有无风险的路径,下一步该怎么做并不十分明朗。”

米兰表达了对通胀将向联储2%目标回落的信心,尽管存在关税,他认为租金成本下降和关税收入减少预算赤字将为更多降息创造空间。然而,堪萨斯城联储的杰弗里·施密德等其他官员仍对持续的通胀表示担忧,主张维持较高利率以防止进一步的通胀压力。芝加哥联储的奥斯坦·古尔斯比则倡导对额外降息采取谨慎态度,强调需要有明确的通胀降温证据。

来源

AP News

事实核查

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At the Federal Reserve's September 16–17, 2025 meeting, most officials supported a quarter-point reduction in the federal funds rate to approximately 4.1%, citing heightened concerns over rising unemployment and stable inflation.

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The minutes indicated that the risk of unemployment had worsened since July, while inflation risks had either diminished or remained unchanged.

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Stephen Miran, appointed by President Donald Trump and confirmed just before the meeting, dissented, advocating for a larger half-point cut.

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Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged the complexity of the situation, stating, 'There are no risk-free paths now. It's not incredibly obvious what to do.'

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Miran expressed confidence that inflation would decline toward the Fed's 2% target despite tariffs, suggesting that rental cost reductions and tariff revenues decreasing the budget deficit would allow for more rate cuts.

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Jeffrey Schmid of the Kansas City Fed remained concerned about persistent inflation, arguing for maintaining higher rates to prevent further inflationary pressures.

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Austan Goolsbee of the Chicago Fed advocated for a cautious approach to additional cuts, emphasizing the need for clear evidence of cooling inflation.

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