政府停摆风险加剧 消费者信心下降
仅事实

政府停摆风险加剧 消费者信心下降

摘要

随着美国面临潜在的政府停摆,消费者信心在九月份下降,引发了对经济数据可用性和劳动力市场稳定性的担忧。

美国消费者信心在九月份下降,会议委员会的指数从八月份的97.8降至94.2,创下自四月份以来的最低水平。这一下降恰逢联邦政府即将停摆的时刻,如果未能达成支出协议,停摆将于午夜开始。

反映消费者对当前商业和劳动力市场状况评估的“现状指数”也达到了近一年来的最低点。会议委员会全球指标高级经济学家斯蒂芬妮·吉查德指出,消费者对商业状况的看法明显变得不那么积极,对就业机会的感知已连续九个月下降。

劳工统计局(BLS)报告称,八月份的职位空缺总数为723万,较七月份略有增加,但同比下降了5.5%。劳工统计局的职位空缺与劳动力流动报告受到美联储密切关注,以评估劳动力市场的松弛情况,报告显示招聘和总离职人数均放缓。值得注意的是,自愿离职人数减少了7.5万,表明工人对找到新工作的信心减弱。

潜在的政府停摆带来了额外挑战,劳工统计局已宣布计划在停摆期间暂停发布包括九月份就业报告在内的关键经济数据。经济学家指出,这种暂停可能会使经济预测和货币政策决策更加复杂。

波士顿联邦储备银行行长苏珊·柯林斯表达了对劳动力市场的担忧,她表示:“特别是,我看到劳动力需求可能远远低于供应的风险增加,这将导致失业率出现更显著且不受欢迎的上升。”

如果政府停摆得以避免,劳工统计局预计九月份的就业人数将增加5.1万,继八月份增加2.2万之后。然而,迫在眉睫的停摆及其对数据可用性的潜在影响为经济前景增添了不确定性。

来源

CNBC

事实核查

使用外部来源和数据库核实文章的事实。

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Unverified

Consumer confidence in the United States declined in September, with the Conference Board's index dropping to 94.2 from August's 97.8, marking the lowest level since April.

✓
Confirmed

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that job openings in August totaled 7.23 million, a slight increase from July but a 5.5% decrease compared to the same period last year.

✓
Confirmed

The BLS's Job Openings and Labor Turnover report indicated a slowdown in both hiring and total separations.

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Unverified

The number of voluntary quits decreased by 75,000, suggesting reduced worker confidence in securing new employment.

✓
Confirmed

The potential government shutdown poses additional challenges, as the BLS has announced plans to suspend the release of key economic data, including the September employment report, during the shutdown.

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Unverified

Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins expressed concerns about the labor market, stating, 'In particular, I see some increased risk that labor demand may fall significantly short of supply, leading to a more meaningful and unwelcome increase in the unemployment rate.'

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Partly Confirmed

If the government shutdown is averted, the BLS is expected to report payroll growth of 51,000 in September, following an increase of 22,000 in August.

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