Poll shows One Nation and Labor tied at 28% primary vote, Albanese's disapproval at record high
The Guardian Essential Poll finds One Nation and Labor each at 28% of the primary vote, while Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's disapproval rating reaches its highest level since taking office in 2022.
A new Guardian Essential Poll of 1,087 Australians indicates that One Nation and the Labor Party are tied for the lead in primary vote share, each receiving 28%, with the Coalition trailing at 23%. The poll was conducted after the alleged attack on Indi MP Helen Haines and shows a decline in Labor’s support from a previous 29%.
Pollsters attribute the drop to a further deterioration in Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s personal approval ratings, which have risen to their highest disapproval level since he became prime minister in 2022.
The findings arrive amid recent controversies involving Albanese, including questions about funding for the Marrickville Golf Club and his honorary membership there. In Victoria, a separate Pyxis Polling & Insights survey places Coalition candidate Jess Wilson ahead of Premier Ben Carroll’s reshuffled Labor cabinet.
State-level polling also reflects fragmentation following One Nation’s entry, with analysts estimating the party could capture up to 20% of the primary vote. Recent incidents involving One Nation include comments by Pauline Hanson about Senator Jacqui Lambie’s health and a children’s colouring book featuring the party’s branding.