劳工统计局预计就业数据将大幅下调
仅事实

劳工统计局预计就业数据将大幅下调

摘要

劳工统计局预计将宣布截至2025年3月期间就业岗位数大约下调80万个,显示劳动力市场比之前报告的更为疲软。

劳工统计局(BLS)将于9月9日发布其初步基准修订,预计显示截至2025年3月的12个月期间,美国经济新增就业岗位数比最初报告少约80万个。此调整表明该时期的平均月度就业增长约为10万个,低于此前估计的16.5万个。

经济学家将劳动力市场放缓归因于关税成本上升以及采用旨在降低劳动力成本的人工智能技术。科默里卡银行首席经济学家比尔·亚当斯评论道:“9月9日发布的初步基准修订后,劳动力市场状况可能看起来更糟。”

即将到来的修订也可能影响美联储的货币政策决策。随着劳动力市场出现疲软迹象,市场对美联储在即将召开的会议上可能考虑降息的猜测日益增加。

在相关发展中,唐纳德·特朗普总统提名保守派传统基金会研究员E.J.安东尼担任劳工统计局局长。安东尼此前批评该机构的数据收集方法,并建议暂停每月就业报告,改为发布更准确的季度数据。他的提名引发经济学家对该机构可能政治化的担忧。

来源

CBS News

事实核查

使用外部来源和数据库核实文章的事实。

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Not Confirmed

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is set to release its preliminary benchmark revision on September 9.

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Partly Confirmed

The U.S. economy added approximately 800,000 fewer jobs than initially reported for the 12-month period ending March 2025.

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Partly Confirmed

Average monthly job growth during this timeframe was around 100,000, a decline from the previously estimated 165,000.

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Confirmed

Economists attribute the labor market's deceleration to factors such as increased tariff costs and the adoption of artificial intelligence technologies.

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Confirmed

Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank, commented on the likely negative outlook for the labor market following the revision release.

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Partly Confirmed

The forthcoming revision may influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, including potential interest rate cuts.

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Confirmed

President Donald Trump has nominated E.J. Antoni to lead the BLS.

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Confirmed

E.J. Antoni has previously criticized the agency's data collection methods.

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