Goldman Sachs forecasts three Fed hikes, first cut delayed to Dec 2027

Goldman Sachs forecasts three Fed hikes, first cut delayed to Dec 2027

Goldman Sachs said on 11 November that it now expects the Federal Reserve to implement three interest-rate hikes this cycle and to postpone the first rate cut until December 2027, after October CPI numbers exceeded forecasts. Earlier in November, NBC News reported economists expected a 0. 3% month-over-month rise in the CPI for October, with core inflation up 0. 2% as gasoline and diesel prices fell. CNBC later noted the Labor Department data showed the CPI actually rose 0. 4% and core CPI 0.

3%, outpacing forecasts. Reuters reported that the Labor Department confirmed the 0. 4% increase, keeping inflation well above the Fed’s 2% target. The Globe and Mail said the stronger CPI data sparked a surge in Treasury yields and heightened market expectations of a larger Fed hike in December. The Age added that the Fed was expected to raise rates again, contrary to President Trump’s calls for cuts.

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November 11, 2026
2 total
Goldman Sachs projects three Fed hikes this cycle, first rate cut pushed to December 2027
Goldman Sachs projects three Fed hikes this cycle, first rate cut pushed to December 2027

BigGo Finance • 11 Nov 04:06

Goldman Sachs raised its estimate of Federal Reserve rate hikes to three and delayed the first cut to December 2027 after October CPI data exceeded expectations.

Credibility 82% Manip. 8% Center
Federal Reserve Expected to Raise Interest Rates Amid Rising Inflation
Federal Reserve Expected to Raise Interest Rates Amid Rising Inflation

The Age • 11 Nov 00:59

The Federal Reserve is anticipated to increase interest rates again following a rise in inflation, contrary to President Trump's calls for cuts.

Credibility 78% Manip. 42% Left
November 10, 2026
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U.S. CPI rises 0.4% in October, driven by housing and energy costs
U.S. CPI rises 0.4% in October, driven by housing and energy costs

CNBC • 10 Nov 16:18

The consumer price index increased 0.4% in October, above expectations, as higher housing, energy and food prices kept inflation elevated.

Credibility 85% Manip. 8% Center
U.S. Treasury yields surge after October CPI exceeds expectations
U.S. Treasury yields surge after October CPI exceeds expectations

The Globe and Mail • 10 Nov 15:38

October consumer price data came in higher than forecast, prompting a sharp rise in Treasury yields and boosting market expectations of a larger-than-usual Fed rate hike in December.

Credibility 88% Manip. 8% Center
U.S. Consumer Prices Rise 0.4% in October, Exceeding Forecasts
U.S. Consumer Prices Rise 0.4% in October, Exceeding Forecasts

Reuters • 10 Nov 14:58

The Labor Department reported a 0.4% month-over-month increase in the Consumer Price Index for October, outpacing Reuters poll expectations and keeping inflation well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

Credibility 88% Manip. 12% Center
U.S. CPI rises 0.4% in October, core CPI up 0.3%
U.S. CPI rises 0.4% in October, core CPI up 0.3%

CNBC • 10 Nov 13:31

The consumer price index increased 0.4% in October, outpacing forecasts, while core CPI rose 0.3%, adding pressure on the Federal Reserve's interest-rate decisions.

Credibility 92% Manip. 8% Center
November 09, 2026
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October CPI expected to show modest rise as fuel prices ease
October CPI expected to show modest rise as fuel prices ease

NBC News • 09 Nov 23:00

Economists anticipate a 0.3% month-over-month increase in the consumer price index for October, with core inflation up 0.2%, amid declining gasoline and diesel prices.

Credibility 82% Manip. 12% Left