Texas Senate race poll shows Paxton and Talarico nearly tied

Texas Senate race poll shows Paxton and Talarico nearly tied

A Texas Southern University poll found the U. S. Senate contest in Texas essentially even between Republican incumbent Ken Paxton and Democratic challenger James Talarico, and noted internal divisions among moderate Republicans.

Newsweek reported a September survey of likely voters that gave Talarico 50% to Paxton’s 45%. USA Today cited a Texas Pulse poll released in September that showed Talarico at 49% and Paxton at 43%. NBC News said a recent Texas poll found Talarico slightly ahead of Paxton, with both margins falling within the surveys’ error ranges.

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September 22, 2026
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Texas Senate race narrows as poll shows Ken Paxton and James Talarico nearly tied
Texas Senate race narrows as poll shows Ken Paxton and James Talarico nearly tied

fox7austin.com • 22 Sep 23:22

A Texas Southern University poll finds the U.S. Senate contest between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico essentially even, while highlighting internal divisions among moderate Republicans.

Credibility 72% Manip. 12% Center
September 21, 2026
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Texas poll shows narrow lead for Democrat Talarico in Senate race and wider gap for Gov. Abbott
Texas poll shows narrow lead for Democrat Talarico in Senate race and wider gap for Gov. Abbott

NBC News • 21 Sep 10:00

A recent Texas poll finds Democrat James Talarico slightly ahead of Republican Ken Paxton for U.S. Senate, while Republican Gov. Greg Abbott leads Democrat Gina Hinojosa for governor, with both margins falling within the surveys' error ranges.

Credibility 72% Manip. 8% Center
September 19, 2026
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Texas Pulse poll shows Democrat Talarico leading Republican Paxton by six points
Texas Pulse poll shows Democrat Talarico leading Republican Paxton by six points

USA Today • 19 Sep 13:51

A Texas Pulse poll released on Sept. 17 shows Democrat James Talarico ahead of Republican Ken Paxton 49% to 43% in the Senate race, a margin that exceeds the poll's error range.

Credibility 72% Manip. 12% Center
September 15, 2026
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Talarico pulls ahead of Paxton in latest Texas Senate poll
Talarico pulls ahead of Paxton in latest Texas Senate poll

usatoday.com • 15 Sep 15:36

A September poll shows Democrat James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton 50% to 45% in the Texas Senate race, with undecided Republican voters remaining a factor.

Credibility 72% Manip. 7% Center
September 14, 2026
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Poll Shows Democrat James Talarico Leading Texas Senate Race by Five Points
Poll Shows Democrat James Talarico Leading Texas Senate Race by Five Points

Newsweek • 14 Sep 13:35

A September survey of likely voters finds James Talarico ahead of incumbent Ken Paxton 50% to 45%, marking a swing from a June poll that favored Paxton.

Credibility 72% Manip. 9% Center