Yemen's Houthis Mobilize Amid Rising Government Unity and Tribal Opposition
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Yemen's Houthis Mobilize Amid Rising Government Unity and Tribal Opposition

Summary

The Houthis have launched missile and drone attacks on Saudi vessels and clashed with government forces, while analysts note growing cohesion among Yemeni anti-Houthi factions and tribal groups could complicate a renewed conflict.

Yemen's Houthi movement intensified its military activity this week, claiming responsibility for missile and drone strikes on two Saudi-flagged ships in the Red Sea and engaging government-aligned forces in the Dhale governorate, where more than 30 combatants were reported killed on both sides. The attacks were presented as retaliation against a blockade of Saudi ports.

Analysts said the developments come as the internationally recognised Yemeni government shows increased coordination. Ahmed Nagi, senior analyst at the International Crisis Group, noted that the Presidential Leadership Council is less divided and that Saudi Arabia is now the primary regional actor working closely with anti-Houthi factions, improving the government's strategic position. Marwan Ali Noman, senior fellow at the Washington Center for Yemeni Studies, highlighted the emergence of a tribal alliance in al-Jawf that could bolster government offensives if hostilities resume.

The Houthis retain significant capabilities, including a reported force of over 200,000 fighters and a robust missile and drone arsenal. However, the withdrawal of the United Arab Emirates and the strengthening of government unity, external support, and tribal opposition may limit the rebels' ability to expand territorial control.

U.S. President Donald Trump warned of a "major military punishment" for Iran and the Houthis if further attacks on Saudi vessels occur, emphasizing the potential for a broader regional response. Experts cautioned that the ultimate impact on the balance of power will depend on the extent to which anti-Houthi forces can maintain coordinated command and secure sustained regional backing.

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