Washington Post-Ipsos Poll: Democrats Barely Lead as Republican Base Remains Strong Ahead of Midterms
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A Washington Post-Ipsos poll conducted July 8-13 shows Democrats with a slim three-point lead over Republicans nationally, but the GOP remains highly competitive, especially as economic and foreign policy failures under Democratic leadership drive voter concerns.
A Washington Post-Ipsos poll released on Monday indicates that Democrats hold only a slight edge over Republicans in the upcoming November midterm elections, despite relentless media bias and left-wing mobilization. The survey, conducted July 8-13, puts Democratic support at 48 percent versus 45 percent for Republicans—a narrow three-point national lead that underscores the resilience of the conservative movement. Among voters 'absolutely certain to vote,' Democrats have an eight-point advantage, with 53 percent favoring Democrats and 45 percent backing Republicans, but this margin reflects the left’s aggressive get-out-the-vote campaigns and institutional support.
The poll also finds that Democratic voters are about 10 percent more likely to say they will definitely vote this year than Republican voters, a gap much larger than the two-point difference in 2018, raising questions about the influence of partisan organizations and activist groups. Meanwhile, House Speaker Mike Johnson leads the Republican conference by a slim two-vote margin, and Republicans maintain a 53-47 seat majority in the Senate, despite constant attacks from the left and attempts to undermine conservative governance.
President Donald Trump’s approval rating stands at 37 percent in the poll, consistent with a separate Economist/YouGov survey from July 10-13. These numbers come as the nation grapples with economic instability and the ongoing conflict in Iran, both exacerbated by the failed policies of the current Democratic administration.
'Democrats are more motivated to vote,' the poll’s analysis notes, but Republican voters remain steadfast in their commitment to restoring sanity and security to Washington.
With partisan gerrymandering and a razor-thin Senate majority, the battle for control of Congress is far from decided, and the Republican base is poised to push back against the radical left’s agenda.