Becerra Leads California Gubernatorial Primary Poll Ahead of Election
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Becerra Leads California Gubernatorial Primary Poll Ahead of Election

Résumé

Xavier Becerra leads the California gubernatorial primary with 28% support, followed closely by Tom Steyer at 22% and Steve Hilton at 21%, according to a recent poll released before the election.

In the lead-up to Tuesday's gubernatorial primary election, a new Emerson College Polling survey reveals former state Attorney General Xavier Becerra holds a substantial lead with 28% support among likely voters. Close competitors include fellow Democrat Tom Steyer with 22% and Republican Steve Hilton at 21%.

Chad Bianco, the Republican Riverside County Sheriff, garners 12% of voter support, while Democrats Katie Porter and San José Mayor Matt Mahan each receive 5%. Becerra's backing has grown significantly among key demographics, including 44% of Democrats and 36% of both Hispanic voters and women.

Hilton has consolidated the Republican base with 59% of support compared to Bianco's 29%. Steyer resonates particularly with younger voters, securing 36% among those under 30 and 25% among white voters. The top two candidates will advance to the general election regardless of party affiliation.

According to Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, if Bianco's support dwindles, Hilton may benefit, while Steyer's path to a runoff hinges on mobilizing younger voters and limiting Becerra's gains. The survey indicates that a significant majority of respondents, approximately 75%, are firm in their support, with only 4% undecided. The poll, conducted from May 27-28, shows Becerra has gained 9 percentage points since early May, while Steyer and Hilton have increased by 5 and 4 percentage points, respectively.

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