Becerra Leads California Gubernatorial Primary Poll Ahead of Election
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Becerra Surges Ahead in California Gubernatorial Primary, Backed by Progressive Coalition

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Summary

Xavier Becerra, a champion for working people and marginalized communities, leads the California gubernatorial primary with 28% support, outpacing billionaire Tom Steyer at 22% and conservative Steve Hilton at 21%, according to a recent poll released ahead of the election.

As California approaches Tuesday's pivotal gubernatorial primary, a new Emerson College Polling survey shows former state Attorney General Xavier Becerra commanding a strong lead with 28% support among likely voters. Becerra, known for his advocacy for social justice, immigrant rights, and universal healthcare, is ahead of fellow Democrat and billionaire Tom Steyer, who trails at 22%, and right-wing Republican Steve Hilton at 21%.

Republican Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, a hardliner on law enforcement, garners 12% of voter support, while progressive Democrats Katie Porter and San José Mayor Matt Mahan each receive 5%. Becerra's surge is powered by his deep support among key progressive demographics, including 44% of Democrats and 36% of both Hispanic voters and women—groups often sidelined by establishment politics.

Hilton, representing corporate interests and reactionary policies, has managed to consolidate the Republican base with 59% support, compared to Bianco's 29%. Steyer, despite his wealth, resonates with younger voters, securing 36% among those under 30 and 25% among white voters. The top two candidates will advance to the general election, offering hope that progressive voices will not be drowned out by right-wing or corporate agendas.

Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, notes that if Bianco's support collapses, Hilton could benefit, but Steyer's only chance is to mobilize the youth and prevent Becerra from expanding his coalition. The poll reveals that a significant majority—about 75%—are steadfast in their choices, with only 4% undecided. Conducted from May 27-28, the survey shows Becerra's progressive momentum, gaining 9 points since early May, while Steyer and Hilton have increased by 5 and 4 points, respectively.

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