U.S. Stock Futures Edge Lower Ahead of Key Inflation Data
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U.S. Stock Futures Edge Lower Ahead of Key Inflation Data

Summary

U.S. stock futures declined slightly as investors awaited the August Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index report, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure.

U.S. stock futures declined slightly as investors awaited the August Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index report, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure. Economists anticipate the data will indicate an uptick in inflation. As of 11:53 p.m. EDT on September 25, futures for the Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and S&P 500 were down 0.18%, 0.01%, and 0.06%, respectively.

On Thursday, the three major U.S. indices experienced declines, led by major AI firms such as Oracle, Meta, and Tesla. The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones closed the session down 0.50%, 0.50%, and 0.38%, respectively. This marks the third consecutive day of losses, the longest losing streak in over a month. Despite the recent downturn, all major indexes remain close to record highs set earlier in the week. The market weakness was attributed to economic reports indicating stronger-than-expected growth, which may reduce the likelihood of multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming PCE report, as it could influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions. A higher-than-expected inflation reading may prompt the Fed to reconsider the pace of interest rate cuts, impacting market sentiment and future stock performance.

Source

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Fact-checking

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On Thursday, September 25, 2025, U.S. stock markets experienced their third consecutive day of losses, marking the longest losing streak in over a month.

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The S&P 500 declined by 0.5% (33.25 points) to 6,604.72, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.4% (173.96 points) to 45,947.32, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.5% (113.16 points) to 22,384.70 on September 25, 2025.

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Despite the recent downturn, all major indexes remain close to record highs set earlier in the week.

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The market weakness was attributed to economic reports indicating stronger-than-expected growth, which may reduce the likelihood of multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

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On September 25, 2025, global stock markets saw their steepest decline in over three weeks, while the U.S. dollar strengthened following unexpectedly robust U.S. growth data.

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The downturn comes amid already stretched market valuations, growing concerns about a potential top in the AI/tech-driven rally, and sluggish performance in Bitcoin, which has stalled near record highs.

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Since inflation has exceeded the 2% target for 54 consecutive months, discussions are emerging around adopting a more flexible inflation range, such as 1.75% to 2.25%, as suggested by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic.

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Global debt has reached an all-time high of $337.7 trillion in the first half of 2025, although debt-to-GDP ratios have declined.

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