G20 foreign ministers face divisions over Ukraine and Middle East conflicts ahead of Atlanta summit

Deep divisions over the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East are expected to limit unified action at the two-day meeting of foreign ministers from the world’s 20 largest economies in Atlanta, officials and analysts said.

The United States, which holds the rotating G20 presidency this year, is emphasizing trade imbalances and a coalition to counter China’s control of critical minerals, but many members remain focused on the economic fallout from the conflicts.

Russia’s foreign minister Sergei Lavrov will attend, while South Africa was not invited, prompting debate over whether to include him in the traditional G20 group photo. European officials have suggested taking separate photos with and without Lavrov.

"Much more of a split than we’ve ever had," said Heidi Crebo-Rediker, former chief economist at the State Department during the Obama administration. She added that G7 countries no longer produce a coordinated platform before G20 meetings, a shift from previous practice.

A State Department spokesperson said the Atlanta talks will concentrate on energy and supply-chain challenges deemed essential for artificial-intelligence development, and noted that four ministerial-level meetings earlier this year reached limited consensus, but further work is needed before the leaders’ summit in Miami in December.

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who is hosting the gathering, promoted the Pax Silica initiative, which seeks to unite G20 members concerned about China’s dominance in rare-earths and other critical minerals. However, experts expect progress on that front to come after the meeting, citing a U.S.–led statement on excess industrial capacity that some trade ministers signed after the group failed to reach agreement.

"It’s going to be very hard to have complete agreement on any of the larger strategic questions that you would ordinarily have on the agenda," Crebo-Rediker said.

Elaine Dezenski, head of the Center on Economic and Financial Power at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, said ad-hoc statements may become the viable path forward. She noted that the Quad will also meet in Atlanta in the coming days.

U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent actions toward Russia, including a diesel purchase deal and partial sanctions relief, could also shape discussions, as could Ukraine’s challenges with its Starshield satellite services.

European Union foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said she would call for increased support for Ukraine and for accountability measures through a special tribunal and claims commission, writing on X, "Russia must be accountable."

One unnamed G20 diplomat said several countries, including Canada, Mexico and India, may seek to keep a low profile to avoid confrontation, especially as the United States prepares for the November 3 midterm elections, which could alter congressional majorities.

The meetings follow Commerce Department data showing the U.S. economy grew at its fastest pace in a year in the third quarter, driven by AI investment despite higher oil prices linked to the Middle East war, while other economies face slower growth or contraction.

Ukraine is not invited to the Atlanta ministers’ meeting, but President Trump is reportedly pushing for a ceasefire in the conflict. Technical-level trilateral talks among Russia, Ukraine and the United States are scheduled for Abu Dhabi next month.