El-Sayed widens his edge over former Rep. Rogers as Michigan voters signal change
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A Mitchell Research poll for CBS Detroit shows Democrat Abdul El-Sayed at 51% and former congressman Mike Rogers at 44% among likely voters, stretching the lead to seven points in a race increasingly shaped by turnout and enthusiasm.
Democrat Abdul El-Sayed has widened his advantage over former Republican congressman Mike Rogers to seven points in a new statewide poll of likely voters for the Michigan U.S. Senate race. The Mitchell Research & Communications survey, conducted Oct. 26-27 for CBS Detroit and other Michigan stations, found El-Sayed supported by 51% of likely voters and Rogers by 44%, with 3% undecided and third-party candidates each drawing about 1%.
"El-Sayed is in the driver's seat for a big victory on November 3rd," the researchers said.
The poll, which sampled 636 likely voters using online panels and cell-phone survey links, was weighted by demographics and past election results. It reported a margin of error of ±3.9 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. Voter engagement appears to be increasing, with 28% of respondents reporting they had already voted or were voting absentee, up from 11% in an early-October poll.
Independent voters favored El-Sayed 52% to 38%, while the earlier poll showed a narrower 46% to 34% split. Among women, El-Sayed led 56% to 39%; among men, Rogers led 49% to 46%. Younger voters (18-44) leaned heavily toward El-Sayed, whereas seniors (65+) preferred Rogers 62% to 35%.
The race features the two candidates who won their party primaries in August, vying for the seat currently held by Sen. Gary Peters, who announced his retirement in January 2025 and has since taken a role co-leading a political center at the University of Southern California. El-Sayed and Rogers have participated in televised debates on Oct. 8 and Oct. 21.