President Trump's grip weakens as midterm backlash looms
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Political analysts say President Donald Trump's approval has dropped since late October 2025, his hold on the Republican Party is fraying, and the party may pay the price in the coming midterm elections.
President Donald Trump's approval rating fell below his disapproval rating after the final week of October 2025, according to recent polling. Since then, his standing within the Republican Party has weakened, and analysts anticipate that the party could lose seats in the upcoming midterm elections.
The president has poured energy into efforts to remold the electoral system to his advantage, including attempts to redraw congressional districts and limit mail-in voting, even as he personally voted by mail. Legal experts have indicated that recent lawsuits filed by the Department of Justice in Alaska are unlikely to succeed.
Despite these moves, several Republican-controlled state legislatures have pushed back against changes that could be seen as undermining electoral integrity, and many of the newly drawn districts are now regarded as competitive or favorable to Democrats.
The Supreme Court, with a third of its justices appointed by President Trump, has issued rulings that affect abortion rights and voting legislation, but courts have generally upheld the authority of individual states to manage election procedures.
Observers suggest that the decentralised nature of the U.S. voting system limits the president's ability to force nationwide changes, and that the Republican electorate may hold the party accountable for what many see as attempts to distort democratic processes.