Toronto mayoral race narrows as election day approaches
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Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow and challenger Brad Bradford are locked in a close contest, with recent polls showing the gap between them has tightened dramatically.
Toronto voters will go to the polls on Monday to elect a mayor and city council, with polls indicating a tight race between incumbent Olivia Chow and challenger Brad Bradford. Voting runs from 10 a.m. to 8 p.m. across the city, alongside school board trustee elections.
Brad Bradford announced his candidacy in October 2025, positioning himself as the primary alternative to Chow, who confirmed her re-election bid in May and launched her campaign in September. Political strategist Bob Richardson praised Bradford’s early announcement, saying it helped him become the “standard bearer for the moderate centrist crowd.”
The campaign has centered on public safety and affordability. Toronto Police Association president Clayton Campbell noted that while crime statistics have improved since Chow took office, many residents still feel unsafe. Campbell praised Chow’s safety plan but expressed doubts about Bradford’s proposals. Chow’s supporters argue that Bradford has exaggerated safety concerns.
Bradford has pledged to cut the land transfer tax, freeze property taxes for a year, and audit city finances without reducing services. He also promised subway track replacements. Political science professor Myer Siemiatycki described these promises as “the tried-and-true formula for getting yourself elected,” noting the difficulty of delivering them.
Chow’s platform includes a fare cap on the TTC, free school lunches, support for independent grocery stores, and renter assistance. Her campaign emphasizes pragmatic use of taxpayer dollars and highlights programs that could save families money.
Polls have tightened in recent weeks. A Liaison Strategies poll in February showed Chow leading 40% to Bradford’s 18%, while a later poll placed Bradford at 49% and Chow at 47%. Richardson said Bradford has made progress in areas such as Etobicoke and North York, whereas Chow’s team argues their messaging is resonating in the final days of the campaign.
Political analysts suggest the close finish reflects normal campaign dynamics rather than a single decisive factor. Voters are encouraged to review candidate positions on key issues through available resources before casting their ballots.