Polls show Trump approval at historic low and Democratic enthusiasm ahead of midterms
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Recent surveys indicate President Trump’s approval rating has fallen to near-second-term lows while Democratic voters report higher enthusiasm, raising concerns for Republicans as midterm elections approach.
Recent polling data suggest President Donald Trump’s approval rating has slipped to levels comparable with the early months of his second term, while Democratic voters show markedly higher enthusiasm for the upcoming midterm elections. A Reuters/Ipsos poll found only 30% of Trump supporters described themselves as "very enthusiastic" about voting, compared with 48% of voters backing former Vice President Kamala Harris. Among highly enthusiastic voters, 62% said they were motivated primarily by opposition to Trump.
Pew Research Center data show that 67% of voters who intend to back Trump in 2024 approve of his job performance, a drop of 28 percentage points since the start of his second term. Satisfaction with the direction of the country among Republicans fell to 39%, down from 65% at the beginning of his presidency.
Political analysts warn that Republican leaders may soon reallocate campaign funds toward the most competitive races. "What you're going to see in the next seven to 10 days is the big money, the Republican National Committee, starting to pull money out of states," said David Paleologos, director of Suffolk University's Political Research Center. The shift includes moving resources from North Carolina to Kansas as recent state polls show tighter margins for Republican candidates.
Overall polling averages from RealClearPolitics, The New York Times and Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin place Trump’s approval in the high 30s with disapproval around 60%, underscoring the challenges Republicans face in retaining congressional control.