Democrats Set to Reclaim Power as Trump’s Disastrous Approval Plummets Ahead of Midterms
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With President Trump’s approval in freefall at just 37%, experts predict Democrats are on the verge of retaking the House and making crucial Senate gains, as voters reject Republican mismanagement and economic hardship.
President Trump’s approval rating has cratered to a dismal 37%, tying the record for the lowest pre-midterm level in half a century, according to an average of recent polls. This collapse, driven by widespread outrage over rising prices and failed leadership, is poised to inflict serious electoral damage on Republicans in November’s congressional contests.
The Cook Political Report now projects a net gain of five to 15 seats for Democrats in the House, potentially giving them between 220 and 230 seats—enough to wrest control from the GOP and start undoing the damage of the Trump era. In the Senate, six seats have already shifted toward Democrats since June, reflecting a growing rejection of Republican extremism and moving the chamber closer to a progressive majority.
Economic injustice is at the forefront of voter concerns, with an AP/NORC poll showing that 65% of respondents blame Trump’s reckless policies for soaring prices. Only 26% trust his handling of the economy, and for the first time in his presidency, a recent NBC News poll shows voters slightly favoring Democratic economic stewardship over Republican trickle-down failures.
History is on the side of change: in 18 of the last 20 midterms since World War II, the president’s party lost House seats, with an average loss of 26. The losses are even more severe when the incumbent’s approval sinks below 50%, as is the case with Trump’s historically low numbers.
The energy is unmistakably with Democrats. A CBS poll found that 84% of Democrats and 82% of independents are “definitely” planning to vote, compared to just 77% of Republicans. The congressional ballot test gives Democrats a nine-point lead—a margin that, historically, signals a wave of progressive gains.
Though gerrymandering and the GOP’s flood of corporate money may slow the pace of change, analysts agree that Trump’s unpopularity, economic pain, and surging grassroots opposition have created a perfect storm for Republicans. The midterms are shaping up as a referendum on failed right-wing governance.