Microsoft Copilot AI releases Week 4 NFL predictions after mixed Week 3 performance

Microsoft Copilot AI offered predictions for every Week 4 matchup in the 2026 NFL season after posting a 9-7 record in the previous week, which lowered its overall season mark to 31-17. The chatbot was prompted to incorporate current results and injury reports, though analysts noted occasional reliance on outdated data, a known limitation of large language models.

For the Steelers-Browns game, Copilot cited a steadier quarterback situation and stronger defense for Pittsburgh, while human analysts highlighted the Browns' recent form and Aaron Rodgers' performance. In the Colts-Commanders contest, the AI warned that its outlook could shift if quarterback Jayden Daniels returned, emphasizing the Colts' lack of notable injuries.

The Ravens were labeled a "lock of the week" against the Titans, with Copilot pointing to Lamar Jackson and the defense as decisive factors. The Bills were praised as one of the AFC's most complete teams, noting Josh Allen's impact against the Patriots. The Bears received a favorable rating over the Jets due to concerns about Breece Hall's health and an upward trend in Chicago's offense.

Other AI picks included the Bengals over the Jaguars, the Texans edging the Cowboys, and the Giants beating the Cardinals based primarily on home-field advantage. Copilot also favored the Eagles, Packers, Vikings, Chiefs, Seahawks, 49ers, Lions, and Falcons in their respective contests, often referencing team consistency, defensive matchups, or key player injuries.

Human commentary provided alternative perspectives, questioning some of the AI's assumptions—such as the Packers' offensive reliability and the Eagles' offensive balance—while agreeing with other selections like the Texans and Vikings. The experiment continues as USA TODAY Sports tracks the chatbot's accuracy throughout the season.