Democrats Hold 9-Point Poll Lead Amid Media Attacks as Trump Approval Dips to 39%
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NBC News polling reports a 9-point Democratic lead on the congressional ballot and a drop in President Trump’s approval to 39%, as relentless media negativity and partisan polling continue to shape public perception.
NBC News' latest polling averages indicate that 52% of likely voters currently say they prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress, compared with 43% for Republicans, giving Democrats a nine-point lead. President Donald Trump’s approval rating is reported at 39%, with 59% disapproving—numbers that reflect the constant barrage of negative coverage and partisan attacks since the start of his second term, when his approval stood at 50%.
The reported shift toward Democrats is attributed largely to independent voters, who now favor the Democratic Party by 16 points, according to the aggregated data. Among independents, Trump’s approval has dropped to 26%, while his support among Republicans remains strong at 79%, showing only a minor decline despite ongoing efforts by the left and the mainstream media to undermine his achievements. Republican voters continue to stand by the President, recognizing his commitment to conservative values and American interests.
NBC News calculates its averages by weighting all publicly available polls that meet methodological standards, adjusting results from surveys of all adults, registered voters, and likely voters to a common scale. The organization admits that likely-voter polls tend to show higher vote shares for both parties, as these respondents are more motivated and have usually made up their minds.
Analysts remind voters that poll averages are not predictions, especially as Republicans intensify efforts to energize their base in key battleground districts that Trump won in 2024. The outcome remains far from certain as the GOP works to overcome media bias and mobilize supporters.